Overland Park, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 3 Miles WSW Prairie Village KS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
3 Miles WSW Prairie Village KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO |
Updated: 8:43 pm CDT Jul 8, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
 Sunny
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Wednesday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Thursday
 Sunny
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Thursday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance T-storms
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Friday
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance T-storms
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Friday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Saturday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Lo 70 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
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Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Light east northeast wind. |
Wednesday
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Sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 6 mph. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 97. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
Thursday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Friday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Saturday
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A chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. |
Sunday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. |
Monday
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A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 3 Miles WSW Prairie Village KS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
279
FXUS63 KEAX 082252
AFDEAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
552 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Storms from earlier this morning stabilized the atmosphere
over much of the region. A few storms have formed across
central and SW MO and are expected to move eastward.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms expected over the next
several days. These will mostly be scattered afternoon/evening
convection or passing thunderstorm complexes (mainly overnight
and early morning).
- Localized heavy rainfall and a few isolated strong to severe
storms are possible. The best possible chances for strong to
severe storms is Thursday afternoon and evening with damaging
winds and heavy rainfall being the primary concerns.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 339 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Showers and thunderstorms from early this morning have stabilized
the environment across the region. The remnant outflow boundary has
positioned itself just to the south and east of the area. Showers
and thunderstorms have developed along this boundary and are
expected to steadily progress eastward through the evening. A few
isolated storms are possible this evening mainly along and south of
I-70 and east of MO 13 HWY. As the storms propagate east, rain
cooled air in the wake of these storms may create a suitable
environment for fog overnight across the area. Depending on if
clouds are able to fully clear out overnight, some minor fog impacts
could be seen as far west as the KC metro.
The overall pattern continues to remain fairly active. The 500mb
synoptic layout is dominated by shortwave troughing over the Upper
Midwest, a large scale high over the desert southwest, and another
strong low off the Pacific coast. The high pressure appears to be
the most significant feature driving out weather pattern over the
next several days. At the surface, there is an axis of temperature
and moisture advection. The primary axis of warm air advection sets
up across the foothills of the Rockies while the primary axis of
moisture transport sets up across the MO Valley. Southerly 850mb
flow continues this advection for the next several days. NW 500mb
flow advects warmer air into the region straight into the axis of
moisture transport. Looking even higher, 250mb analysis shows a
little more progressive pattern of shortwaves which translate
downward into multiple embedded 500mb shortwaves creating a a
typical summertime ring of fire pattern around the outside of the
500mb high. This looks to keep the pattern fairly active with
scattered showers and thunderstorms through much of the forecast
period.
A passing upper level shortwave ridge Wednesday keeps the daytime
relatively dry. CAM model guidance has been fairly spread out about
precipitation chances Wednesday afternoon/evening. Most of this
uncertainty is due to how models are handling overnight MCSs/MCVs
with some dissipating the wave across SE NE and others maintaining
storms through SW MO. This could bring some chances for
thunderstorms primarily along and west of I-49 corridor.
Unfortunately, we are not really going to have much of an
increase in confidence until we observe the waves through the
night.
The SW CONUS high slowly migrates west opening up the NW flow
across the MO River Valley. This, in turn, increases the chances for
showers and thunderstorms particularly in the form of scattered
afternoon convection and overnight MCSs. Convective parameter look
elevated enough for some strong to severe concerns with the primary
hazards being wind and hail. Thursday afternoon looks to be the best
environment for severe storms as the SW CONUS high continues to
migrate westward. 500mb flow opens up allowing a deeper shortwave
trough to pass over the central CONUS catalyzing storm development
especially into the overnight. Probabilities for strong to severe
storms are higher across far NW MO concurrent with SPC`s Day 3
Outlook with heavy rain and wind being the most likely hazards. WPC
maintains at least marginal chances of Excessive Rainfall Thursday
through the remainder of the period. With PWAT values north of 1.5",
periods of localized heavy rainfall are possible. QPF through the
period sits around 0.5 to 1 inch; however, with those elevated PWATs
locally higher amounts are possible. This does pose a potential
flooding risk, especially near areas of already swollen creeks and
streams.
Zonal flow with stagnant highs becomes the primary synoptic regime
as we reach the weekend. This maintains the expected active pattern
with the more open flow of shortwaves increasing the potential for
scattered showers and storms. As typical for us, we sit between the
relatively cooler northern CONUS airmass and the warmer southern
CONUS air mass. This places us along the boundary where these
temperatures differentials set up a favorable environment for
showers and storms. Shifts in this boundary with forecast updates
will greatly affect the probabilities of precipitation. The good
news is that this oscillation of the boundary may mitigate the flow
of warm air and moisture into the area keeping heat indices just
below triple digits.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 552 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Main concern for aviators this TAF cycle will be the potential
for fog btn 09Z-13Z reducing vis to 3SM-5SM (and down to 1SM at
STJ). Otrw...expect VFR conds with lgt and vrb winds thru
14Z-16Z aft which they become predominantly southerly around
5kts.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Pesel
AVIATION...73
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